the receipts
i watch culture. then i trade it.
20+ years of spotting signals before they hit consensus. from subway headphones to onchain identity.
i looked around the subway in 2003 and everyone had white headphones in their ears. apple had something.
bought $20 calls at $0.62 each.
sold at $49/ea. 79x return.
my most stylish girlfriends all started wearing the same jeans. true religion. nobody on wall street was talking about it yet.
bought equity and stock.
acquired at ~$28/share.
the housing market felt wrong. everyone was getting mortgages they couldn’t afford. countrywide was the biggest lender.
shorted via puts, december 2006.
countrywide imploded august 2007.
bear stearns was next. the exposure was obvious if you were paying attention.
shorted at ~$100.
rode it to zero.
as lehman brothers was collapsing, everyone was panicking. i was buying.
bought silver wheaton at ~$2/share.
silver wheaton ran to $40+.
visited china. starbucks was everywhere. packed locations, massive expansion. the stock didn’t reflect what i saw on the ground.
bought starbucks equity.
stock 4x’d over the next few years.
facebook ipo’d at $38 and the street hated it. but i saw the youth. growth was exploding and the market was discounting it. the stock hit ~$18.
bought near the post-ipo lows.
facebook became meta. one of the greatest runs in market history.
autonomous driving would be led by vision systems, not lidar. mobileye was winning business from tesla and every major automaker. the thesis was clear.
bought mobileye. ipo’d at $25.
acquired by intel at $63.54/share — $15.3B deal.
late january. early reports out of wuhan. human-to-human transmission confirmed. the market hadn’t moved yet, but the signal was there.
initiated short positions, late january 2020.
covered a few days early — but the s&p dropped 34% by march.
digital identity was about to matter. ownership was moving onchain. i paid 140 eth for a jpeg. the tweet went viral.
cryptopunk #8219. 140 eth.
the trade that defined a movement.
ai is the biggest opportunity i've seen in my career. bigger than crypto. bigger than the gfc.
that's where i'm focused now. and that's what the early signal is about.
what's in the early signal
cultural observations before they hit consensus
the same pattern recognition that spotted apple in 2003 and shorted countrywide in 2006, applied to what’s happening right now.
trade ideas with real thesis
not tips. not signals from an algo. observations from the real world, connected to market opportunity, with the reasoning laid out.
ai tools and business opportunities
what’s actually working in ai right now. tools, workflows, and business ideas you can act on.
deal flow access
private investment opportunities, early-stage projects, and curated deal flow from my network.
connect
the co-sign
featured in
Fortune
Named #43 on the NFTy 50. the 50 most influential people in NFTs.
NFTy 50, 2021 →
CNBC
“With an NFT, I can quickly flex with a picture. It has the same effect as wearing that Rolex in real life, but digitally.”
Profile, Sept 2021 →
Vogue Business
Named to the Business 100 Innovators. Tech and Web3.
100 Innovators, 2023 →
Nasdaq
“What better way to show these are not worthless if I can get a million-dollar loan against an NFT?”
Exclusive, Feb 2024 →
Business of Fashion
The crypto-luxury brand predicting a web3 comeback.
9dcc Feature, 2024 →
Highsnobiety
“One of Web 3.0’s most recognized and respected figures.”
9dcc Interview, 2022 →
advised or collaborated with
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years of early calls